Well it’s been a few months since Brexit and as we settle into the autumn with Great British Bake Off, Strictly and the Football season underway... the newspapers are returning to their mixed messages of good news, bad news and indifferent news about the Brit’s favorite subject after the weather... the property market.
The thing is the UK does not have one housing market. Instead,
it is a patchwork of mini property markets all performing in a different way. At
one end of scale is Kensington and Chelsea, which has seen average prices drop
in the last twelve months by 6.2% whilst in our East Midlands region, house
prices are 7.9% higher. But what about Northampton?
Property prices in Northampton are 10.4%
higher than a year ago
and 1.9% higher than last month.
So what does this mean for Northampton landlords and
homeowners? Not that much unless you are buying or selling in
reality. Most sellers are buyers anyway, so if the one you are buying has
gone up, yours has gone up. Everything is relative and
what I would say is, if you look hard enough, there are even in this market,
still some property bargains to be had in Northampton.
The most important question you should be asking though is
not only is what happening to property prices, but exactly which price band is
selling? I like to keep an eye on the property market in Northampton on a daily
basis because it enables me to give the best advice and opinion on what (or not)
to buy in Northampton.
If you look at Northampton and split the property market
into four equaled sized price bands. Each price band would have around 25% of
the property in Northampton, from the lowest in value band (the bottom 25%) all
the way through to the highest 25% band (in terms of value).
- Nil to £150k 258 properties for sale and 447 sold (stc) i.e. 63% sold
- £150k to £220k 274 properties for sale and 575 sold (stc) i.e. 67% sold
- £220k to £300k 248 properties for sale and 336 sold (stc) i.e. 57% sold
- £300k + 246 properties for sale and 194 sold (stc) i.e. 55% sold
Fascinating don’t you think that it is the lower Northampton
market that is doing the best?
The next nine
months’ activity will be crucial in understanding which way the market will go
this year after Brexit... but, Brexit or no Brexit, people will always
need a roof over their head and that is why the property market has ridden the
storms of oil crisis’ in the 1970’s, the 1980’s depression, Black Monday in the
1990’s, and latterly the credit crunch together with the various house price
crashes of 1973, 1987 and 2008.
And why? Because of Britain’s chronic lack of housing will
prop up house prices and prevent a post spike crash… there is always a silver
lining when it comes to the property market!
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