I was reading a report the other day produced by the
Halifax, about the UK property market and why more and more of the younger
generation seem to be renting rather than buying. I find it fascinating that
over the last ten years, the British obsession of buying a house almost as soon
as you left school, and the fact that if you rented you were seen as a second
class citizen, has turned on its head to a point where the hopes and dreams to
own a nice home will be replaced by the ambition simply to live in one.
In the latter half of the 20th Century, you left school, got
a job, bought a small house and kept buying and selling property, constantly
upgrading until eventually they carried you out in a box. However, the perceived
shame and stigma of renting is no longer the case, as it seems that the British
are now beginning to accept a lifetime of renting. This is a very important
consideration for both Northampton homeowners and Northampton landlords as it will
transform the way the Northampton property ladder looks in the future and I
might ask whether or not it will exist at all for some people? The make up of
households is one important factor, especially in the Northampton property
market. The normal stereotypical married couple, two kids and dog of the 1970’s
and 80’s has changed. More and more we have the need for larger houses where
two families come together after divorces (+ kids) and need a property to house
everyone through to an increase in the number of one person households.
Looking at the data for Northampton, of the 14,658 private
rental properties in the Northampton Borough Council area, 28.2% of those
rented properties are one person households (4,135 properties). However, when
we compare the number of one person Northampton households who have bought
their own property with a mortgage (i.e. therefore they are still in work), of
the 55,622 owner occupied households in the area, only 5,582 of those
properties are a one person household (i.e. 10%). Compared to a decade ago,
this explosion in demand for decent high quality rental properties that one
person households require has not been met with an increase in supply of such
properties. More and more I believe Northampton
landlords need to consider this change in the make up of Northampton
households, as I believe this could be an opportunity. As an aside, another
interesting stat that raised an eyebrow was that 15.32% of those 14,658 rental properties
(2,245 properties) are lone parents households as well. Again, another possible
opportunity that Northampton landlords might want to consider in their future
investment plans.
It is true that the
Governments introduction in 2013 of the Help to Buy scheme, where first time
buyers only needed a 5% deposit, changed the perception of peoples’ ability to
buy without having to save ten’s of thousands of pounds for a deposit. However,
it might surprise you, 95% mortgages were re-introduced within six months of
the Credit Crunch in late 2009, so again it comes down to people’s own
perception. Many youngsters think they won’t get a mortgage, so don’t even
bother trying.
Coming back to the
deposit, it’s still a fact that once you start renting it becomes that much
harder to save for a deposit, regardless of the size. Interestingly, 7
out of 8 renters polled by the Halifax (86% to be exact) refuse to sacrifice
the quality of accommodation they currently live in to reduce the amount of
rent they pay in order to save for a deposit.
This is the crux and the real
reason why people aren’t buying but renting... and why demand for renting will
continue to grow in the future (i.e. good news for landlords). Northampton
tenants can upgrade the quality and size of the property they live in for a
minimal rent increase. The average rent of a two bed property in Northampton is
£659pcm, a three bed is £211pcm more at £870pcm, whilst the average four bed
rent is £1,200pcm. If you had to make that jump when buying, the monthly
mortgage payments would be stratospherically more than that! Without any social pressure and better quality
rental properties compared to a decade ago, we will become a nation of
renters within the next generation, as the UK is becoming more like Europe,
where renting is ‘the norm’. Who is going to supply all these properties to
rent? Landlords!
Whether you are an existing landlord looking to grow your portfolio
or looking to become a ‘first time landlord’, my thoughts are take advice from
as many people as possible. However, as the majority of landlords buy their buy
to let properties in the same town they live, you will need specific advice
about Northampton itself. Feel free to pop in and see me for such advice at our office on the Wellingborough Road.
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