Prices up, prices down, prices stable..... the newspapers
are full of good news, bad news and indifferent news about the Brit’s favourite
subject after the weather..... the property market. The thing is the UK does not have one housing
market. Instead, it is a patchwork of
mini property markets all performing in a different way. At one end of scale is London, which has seen
average prices grow in the last twelve months by a shade under 19% (and again
that is an average because some Borough’s
in London have risen by 26%) whilst in the land of Daffodils , by
contrast, Wales only saw a 2% increase in property values (although in the
Merthyr Valleys they dropped by over 11%).
Well we can’t ignore the rest of the UK and we can’t forget that
the Chancellor’s Stamp Duty reforms have polarised the London property markets above
£1,000,000 because at the top end of the market, punitive Stamp Duty charges
will dampen demand further. While the
Bank of England warned of the growing London property price bubble in the Spring
of 2014, even talk of a recovery in some areas was premature. In 2015, irrespective of where you are in the
UK, one story will unite the patchwork quilt of markets – really slow property
value growth.
But what about Northampton? Well, we haven’t had the
December figures from the Land Registry yet but the last few months’ activity
and prices achieved would suggest neither house price growth nor drops. In fact, most sellers are buyers anyway, so
if you need to take less for yours, you won’t have to pay as much for the one
you want to buy..... and that is good
news for everyone as most move up market when they move. This is even better for landlord investors, as
they can bag a bargain as well.
The question you should be asking though is, not only what
is happening to property prices, but which price band exactly is selling? I
like to keep an eye on the property market in Northampton on a daily basis
because it enables me to give the best advice and opinion on what (or not) to
buy in Northampton.
Over the last two months (63 days to be precise), 255
properties with asking prices under £125k have come onto the market in Northampton
and 35.6% of them (91 properties) have a
buyer and sold stc. Between £125k and £175k, of the 369 properties that come on
to the market, an impressive (40.6%) of them (150 properties) have a buyer. The £175k to £225k price range has seen 224
properties come on to the market, and 35.2% have a buyer (79 properties). 40 of the 172 properties that came onto the
market with asking prices of £225k and £300k in Northampton have a buyer
(23.2%). Finally, the £300k+ range has
been much slower, with only 8.4% (14 properties) of the 162 that have come on
to the market in the last 63 days finding buyers.
The next three months’ activity will be crucial in
understanding which way the market will go this year and I honestly believe we
will not see any house price growth or drops this side of the election.
Election or no election, people will always need a roof over their head and
that is why the property market has rode the storms of the Oil crisis in the
1970’s, the 1980’s depression, Black Monday in the 1990’s, and latterly the
Credit Crunch together with the various house price crashes of 1973, 1987 and
2008.
And why? Because of Britain’s (and especially Northampton’s)
chronic lack of housing will prop up house prices and prevent a post spike
crash..... there is always a silver lining when it comes to the property
market!
If you are an existing landlord or one who is thinking of
become one in Northampton, don’t hesitate to pop by our offices on the Wellingborough
Road in Northampton or send us an email to Northampton@northwooduk.com.
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